Research, case studies, and analysis on temporal validation and staying power
The story of why TVI exists — and why it measures what lasts, not what's loud. A manifesto for long-term thinking in a viral world.
After 26 years, MNIST scores 40.21 TDIS — higher than datasets 100× larger. What temporal validation reveals about staying power.
How Investment Staying Power Score retrospectively separates Peloton's ISPS 82 from Apple's 7,775.
Why observers with 3-month validation horizons may miss long-horizon value in the current model.
How we tested TVI against selected known outcomes: viral content, business methods, AI datasets, and corporate survival.
Portfolio analysis 2020-2024: how temporal validation outperformed momentum and fundamentals.